AWIHL Finals · 2026
2026 AWIHL Finals Series
O’Brien Icehouse, Melbourne
Finals StatsFinals Preview
The matches below are projected based on today’s standings and won’t be finalised until the end of the final round. Seeds and matchups here will keep shifting as the ladder positions change.
FinalsSeeding not yet final
The regular season is still being played out - the seeds above are projected from today's ladder and will lock in once it finishes.
Knockout Bracket
Projected seeding, as it stands today · tap any team to trace their road to the Cup.Joan McKowen Memorial TrophySun 30 Aug, 2026 · 2:00 PM AEST
·?
Winner SF1
·?
Winner SF2

Champion
To be decided
Championship Odds
We simulate the rest of the season and the whole finals bracket 3,000 times, each game decided by a weighted coin flip that favors the better team without guaranteeing them the win, then count how often each team ends up as champion.
Finals use the same Elo, with one change. Home-ice advantage (normally
+35) mostly disappears,
because every finals game is played at O’Brien Icehouse, a rink every other team already visits during the regular
season. Melbourne Ice and Melbourne Mustangs still get half that bump when they're the ones playing there against an
outside opponent, since it genuinely is their home ice. Probabilities are shown per single game: a 65% favourite
is still one bad night from elimination.



